Trump publicly floats Rubio as 2028 contender while ribbing Vance over Secret Service incident

 May 12, 2026

President Trump turned a White House Rose Garden appearance into an impromptu audition for the 2028 Republican ticket, polling guests on whether they preferred Vice President JD Vance or Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and openly teasing Vance over the viral footage of Secret Service agents hoisting him from his chair during a recent assassination attempt.

The remarks, first reported by the Daily Mail, amounted to the most public signal yet that the president views the post-2028 GOP landscape as genuinely unsettled, and that Vance's status as heir apparent is far from guaranteed.

Trump addressed the Secret Service directly during the event, praising their response to the Washington, D.C., assassination attempt roughly two weeks earlier. Then he pivoted to Vance, and the moment that made the vice president a punchline on social media.

The Rose Garden scene

Trump told the crowd that agents moved with impressive speed to protect Vance when the threat materialized:

"They had great professional people, and they came out, and within seconds, I saw them take JD by the shoulders and lift him up like he was a little boy."

He followed with a quip aimed at his own protection detail: "I said, 'How come they didn't lift me up so fast?'" The crowd laughed. But Trump wasn't done. He called the footage of the 41-year-old vice president being yanked from his seat "the view of the week."

The clip had gone viral online shortly after the incident, drawing attention not for any failing on Vance's part but for the sheer physical abruptness of the Secret Service response. Trump, characteristically, found the humor in it, at Vance's expense.

A straw poll with an edge

What followed was more consequential than the ribbing. Trump asked the Rose Garden guests a pair of direct questions: "Who likes JD Vance?" Then: "Who likes Marco Rubio?"

The Washington Examiner reported that Trump went further, musing aloud about the 2028 race: "Is it gonna be JD? Is it gonna be someone else? I don't know." After gauging the crowd's reaction, he said a Vance-Rubio pairing sounded like "a good ticket", and later called it a "dream team."

But the president quickly hedged. "That does not mean you have my endorsement under any circumstance," he said. "But you know... I think it sounds like presidential candidate and vice presidential candidate."

The performance had all the hallmarks of Trump's long-running habit of testing loyalty and gauging the room. He uses these informal polls, at rallies, dinners, and private gatherings, to read where the party's energy sits. The fact that he staged one publicly, with both Vance and Rubio as the options, tells you something about how fluid he considers the succession question.

Rubio plays it cool

Rubio, for his part, has been careful not to position himself as a rival to Vance. Last year, the secretary of state told reporters flatly that Vance would have his support if he sought the presidency.

"If JD Vance runs for president, he's going to be our nominee, and I'll be one of the first people to support him."

That kind of deference tracks with Rubio's recent posture inside the administration. He has stepped into visible White House roles when called upon, without appearing to angle for more than his current portfolio. Whether that restraint holds as 2028 approaches is another matter entirely.

Both Rubio and Vance have publicly downplayed any interest in running the Oval Office after Trump departs. Both also opposed Trump's initial 2016 presidential bid, a fact the president has never fully forgotten, even as he elevated each man to senior positions.

Prediction markets and party positioning

The betting platform Kalshi, as of the Rose Garden event, gave Vance a 35 percent chance at the next GOP nomination and Rubio a 31 percent chance. A four-point gap is not a commanding lead. It suggests the donor class and political-betting community see a genuinely competitive field forming.

Vance has been active on the political circuit. He recently voted in Ohio primaries and traveled to Iowa to campaign for a vulnerable GOP incumbent, the kind of early-state spadework that signals long-term ambition, even if the vice president insists otherwise.

Rubio, meanwhile, has quietly accumulated high-profile assignments. He was tapped over Vance to meet Pope Leo XIV in a Vatican diplomatic visit, a choice that raised eyebrows among those tracking the internal pecking order. Whether these assignments reflect Trump's strategic thinking about 2028 or simply his management style is an open question.

What the ribbing reveals

Trump's public teasing of Vance is not, by itself, unusual. The president has always treated loyalty as something to be tested, not assumed. He has publicly named even his own Supreme Court appointees when he felt they fell short. Personnel decisions inside the administration have followed a similar pattern of reward, reassessment, and occasional correction.

The "little boy" line, though, carries a different charge. It reduces the sitting vice president to a physical joke in front of an audience of allies and insiders. Whether Trump intended it as harmless banter or a deliberate signal is something only he knows. The effect, however, is to remind every Republican watching that the president's favor is conditional, and that Vance holds no guaranteed claim on the future of the party.

Trump praised the Secret Service for their work during the assassination attempt, saying, "I thought you did a great job two weeks ago. You know why? Because I'm here." He added a caveat: "But I will be the one to find fault if I think there was fault." That combination, praise laced with a warning, is vintage Trump, and it applied to more than just the protective detail.

The 2028 question, out loud

What makes the Rose Garden episode noteworthy is not that Trump joked about Vance. It's that he raised the succession question in public, with a live audience, and declined to settle it. He floated Rubio as an equal option. He withheld an endorsement. And he did it all while the vice president's viral moment was still fresh in the national memory.

For Vance, the path forward requires navigating a president who keeps all options open and enjoys watching his lieutenants compete. For Rubio, it means staying useful without appearing to reach. For the Republican Party, it means the 2028 primary is already underway, whether anyone admits it or not.

Trump has never been shy about keeping his allies off balance. The only people who should be surprised are the ones who thought the vice presidency came with a guarantee.


About Tim Harrison

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